“You cannot predict the future.”
With apologies to a very smart Dan Szymborski, creator of the ZIPS projection simulator, PECOTA, and the prescient Steamer, conceived literally around the corner from where I once lived on Monroe Place in Brooklyn Heights at the Saint Ann’s School, you are pushing a very heavy rock uphill when you attempt to predict future events. The future is unknowable. This we know. And yet we beat on, bunts against the shift.